Price pressure is starting to show in fleet market
Average used car values fell by just over £200 in May, from £5,871 to £5,656, according to British Car Auctions (BCA). Performance against CAP Clean fell by one and a half points.
Year on year values are behind by £117 - the first time the market has seen this since February 2009, underlining there has been a significant shift in market dynamics over the past 8 –12 weeks.
Average fleet values fell from £7,871 to £7,428, although values rallied marginally in the P/X market from £2,592 in April to £2,619 in May, and nearly-new values continued to rise – from £19,752 to £20,393 - on the back of slim volumes and a series of high profile sales at BCA.
BCA’s Communications Director Tony Gannon commented “There has been a subtle and seasonal slowing of demand in the used car market over a number of weeks and we reported on this factor last month. There has also been an increase in supply, partly made up of genuinely incremental fresh stock, but also including an increasing proportion of re-entered stock. This month we are seeing the effects of that across the market – average prices have fallen, and were lower in May 2010 than they were in the corresponding month in 2009. That is the first time in seventeen months we have seen year-on-year values in decline.”
Gannon continues “The fleet sector has seen most of the pain in May. Values fell by £443 to £7,428, equivalent to a drop of 5.6% over the month. Meanwhile, performance against CAP Clean fell for the second month running, from 96.9% to 94.86%, which reflects the market and CAP’s lack of response to it in May. In addition, we are now seeing some of the extended-contract vehicles coming back and the average age at remarketing has crept up by around a month – this will also affect values.”
He concluded “We have been telling our customers for some time that we expect prices to stabilise in 2010 and for the market to assume a more traditional pattern. Values cannot rise inexorably – common sense suggests the market will have peaks and troughs in the typical annual cycle. It’s just that it has been some time since we experienced a trough.”
Fleet & Lease Sector – May
Average Fleet & Lease values stalled for the first time this year, falling by £443 (a fall of 5.6%) to £7,428. Performance against CAP Clean fell for the second month running, from 96.9% to 94.86% as CAP values were very largely untouched, ignoring typical seasonal patterns.
Year-on-year fleet & lease values remain ahead by £404 in May, compared to the £986 margin recorded in April. BCA expects this figure to continue to fall in the months ahead.
Part Exchange Sector – May
Values rallied marginally in the P/X market from £2,592 in April to £2,619 in May. Performance against CAP fell by half a point, after a fall of over four points in the previous month.
Looking at P/X product in detail, values fell across the sector, although the higher priced sectors retained more of their value over the month. Premium P/X cars fell by £18 to £4,581; volume P/X values fell by £9 to £1,810, while budget P/X values fell by a more substantial £59 to £1,394 (down 4.2%).
Nearly-New Sector - May
Nearly-New values broke through the £20,000 barrier for the first time on record, improving by £642 (3.2%) in May to £20,393. With lower numbers than the fleet and part-exchange sectors, model mix has a greater role to play and BCA recorded some significant results for nearly-new cars in both manufacturer closed sales, convertible and Top Car sales during the month. Performance against CAP Clean slipped by a point to 101.3%.
